Fwd: time series regression

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Parent Message unknown Fwd: time series regression

by bereket weldeslassie :: Rate this Message:

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 Hi Everyone,
I am doing a time series regression (one dependent time series variable, 6
independent time series variables and 32 annual observations). I have the
problem of cointegration, autocorrelation and multicollinearity. I am
considering an error correction model of the form:
diff(lnY(t))=a+b1*lnY(t-1)+b2*lnX(t-1)+b3*diff(lnX(t))+error
and not able to solve all problems.
Any suggestion how to built a good model that solves these problems? I
appreciate your help.
Thanks,
Bereket

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Re: Fwd: time series regression

by Matthieu Stigler :: Rate this Message:

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Hello

For the analysis of multivariate time series use package vars for VAR  
models and urca for VECM models, unit root and cointegration tests.  
The author of these package wrote also a  book "analysis of integrated  
and cointegrated time series with R" which can be usefull. See  
http://pfaffikus.de/

Matthieu



Quoting bereket weldeslassie <berekket@...>:

>  Hi Everyone,
> I am doing a time series regression (one dependent time series variable, 6
> independent time series variables and 32 annual observations). I have the
> problem of cointegration, autocorrelation and multicollinearity. I am
> considering an error correction model of the form:
> diff(lnY(t))=a+b1*lnY(t-1)+b2*lnX(t-1)+b3*diff(lnX(t))+error
> and not able to solve all problems.
> Any suggestion how to built a good model that solves these problems? I
> appreciate your help.
> Thanks,
> Bereket
>
> [[alternative HTML version deleted]]
>
> _______________________________________________
> R-SIG-Finance@... mailing list
> https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-sig-finance
> -- Subscriber-posting only.
> -- If you want to post, subscribe first.
>

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